Thursday, May 04, 2006

Looking Ahead: May 8-10

Monday through Wednesday (May 8-10) could be rather active, with chases anticipated. After frontal boundary gets knocked south across TX this weekend, better moisture should quickly return northward early next week ahead of southwest states upper trough. GFS/ECMWF guidance appears to be in reasonable agreement that broad trough will evolve into the central states through the middle of next week, with a juicy warm sector in place across much of the southern into central Plains as early as Monday 5/8. After Wednesday 5/10, bout of northwest upper flow appears likely for at least several days. Pending frontal position (hopefully not suppressed too far south), this could yield a few down days Thursday onward and/or perhaps confine us to west TX etc.

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