Thursday March 30 Take II

From what I glanced at this evening, I still wonder about the impacts of early day convection from KS into MO on Thursday. However, models do suggest a narrow warm sector of recovery across eastern KS during the afternoon. Convective mode may leave a little to be desired, but certainly a tornadic window would exist mid/late afternoon given the low level flow fields in the recovering warm sector... rather enlarged low level hodographs thanks to 50 kt flow "off the deck". I wonder if much of eastern KS into MO is the high reward/high risk (in terms of tornadoes -- not necessarily a literal "high"!) of the day contingent upon the timing/degree of recovery. A solid coverage of large hail and eventual damaging winds seems likely otherwise. In some ways, I speculate a little "clearer" scenario (if my prognosis skills are capable of such!) may be severe/isolated tornadoes near the cold core from north/northeast KS into central/eastern NEB and perhaps western IA. Same thing may go for eastern OK, where morning convection won't be as problematic, with late afternoon/early evening development looking like a good possibility down to near the Red River, if not north TX. One thing is for sure, storms will be hauling with Bunkers motions of NE at 45-50 kts! Given my aforementioned logistics, I still plan to take a little detour into eastern KS. Morning trends will dictate the details I suppose, but my initial leaning is Topeka-Emporia. I'll hopefully have position/camera updates active (pending a laptop issue).