Monday, March 06, 2006

Tuesday March 7

Namely since I'm off, I'm leaning toward a chase Tuesday. My current expectation is for isolated storms to develop from far north TX into west central/north central OK Tuesday mid to late afternoon. Some high clouds could be problematic, but I think there may be enough heating and the large scale appears adequately favorable for isolated development along/ahead of the dryline. Given storms, kinematics are supportive of supercells and perhaps a tornado or two given good low level shear and just enough boundary layer moisture (60F Td). Initial leaning for a target is the Hobart-Clinton-Anadarko corridor, but will later reevaluate whether north central OK is a better play. Wednesday looks even more favorable for supercells and perhaps a few tornadoes.

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